http://www.researchforum.org/project_general_416.html

How Well Have Rural and Small Metropolitan Labor MarketsAbsorbed Welfare Recipients?

General Information

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Evaluator(s) Lewin Group
Investigator(s) Mary Farrell (Lewin Group)
 
Domain Income Security/TANF
Community/Neighborhood
Status Completed (final report released)
Type Research and/or Program Evaluation
Program/Policy Description Following welfare policy changes in the 90s, concerns have been expressed about whether enough jobs will be available to employ the additional welfare recipients entering the labor market as a result of welfare reform. If a surplus of jobs is not available in particular areas, welfare recipients’ entry into the labor force might reduce low-skill wages and displace some workers. There is also a great concern about the impact of welfare reform on rural and small metropolitan labor markets, because these markets might be less able to absorb the inflow of welfare recipients than urban labor markets. To address these concerns, this project examines how well rural and small metropolitan labor markets can absorb welfare recipients, and to the extent feasible, estimate the impact of welfare reform on rural and small-metropolitan regions since 1993. This study uses an economic model to estimate the impact of welfare reform and improvements in the economy on the low-skill labor market, where most welfare recipients seek work. The basic approach began by comparing estimates of the number of welfare recipients entering the labor market to changes in the low-skill labor force in each of the regions. Were there enough jobs to absorb the increase of welfare recipients who left for work or who combined welfare and work? Researchers then attempted to estimate the effect of the welfare push on employment and wages in each of the regions and distinguish between entry due to reforms (“welfare push”) and entry due to the strong economy (“demand pull”).
Notes No notes reported.
 
Last Updated 08/06/03
Type of Summary Unreviewed
Contact(s) Mary Farrell (not reported)
Lewin Group
3130 Fairview Park Drive
Suite 800
(T) (703) 269-5500
(F) (703)269-5501
Submitter(s) Research Forum Staff (info@researchforum.org)
National Center for Children In Poverty
215 West 125th St, 3rd Fl
(T) (646)284-9600
(F) not reported

Populations Studied

Target Population Recipients/participants/clients
General population
Low-income households
Subgroups Analyzed Rural Populations
Sample Size and Unit General population in the 12 study sites
Execution not reported.

Sites Studied

12 sites which include a mix of rural and small metropolitan areas.
Decatur and Florence, AL;
Rural MS;
Central OR;
Medford-Ashland, OR;
Joplin, MO;
Florence, SC;
Southeast MO;
VT;
Jamestown, NY;
Eau Claire, WI;
North Country, NY;
Wausau, WI.

Program Components, Policies, and Activities Evaluated

Employment activities

Program requirements

Administration/Implementation

Variation in program components across sites? No

Outcomes Assessed

Standard of living

Income security

Employment

Community Outcomes

Types of Studies

Type Descriptive/Analytical Study
 

Data Sources

Source Administrative data
 
Source Secondary data
 

Findings Available

Final Descriptive/Analytical Findings

Recommendations

Existing Publications

04/01/01 How Well Have Rural and Small Metropolitan Labor Markets Absorbed Welfare Recipients?: Final Report Lewin